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Strategies & Market Trends : New India

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From: Sam Citron9/24/2007 11:15:03 AM
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In India, Rural Poor Are Key To Cellular Firm's Expansion [WSJ]
Heat, High Costs Pose Problems for Towers; Mr. Price's Innovations
By ERIC BELLMAN
September 24, 2007

GURGAON, India -- Don Price got his start in the cellphone industry in the 1980s installing clunky phones in luxury cars in Orlando, Fla. Today, most of his millions of prospective customers don't have cars, regular electricity or even running water.

The 44-year-old former Navy technician is the director of networks for India's largest cellular company, Bharti Airtel Ltd., which is trying to blanket this hot, mostly poor country with radio towers. Mr. Price spends his time directing experiments with cold-gel packs and solar panels in an effort to solve a puzzle: How to make service cheap enough for the rural poor, yet profitable? "When you look at cost, it is really a challenge," he says.

In July, Bharti Airtel commissioned one of its newest towers in a village 300 miles from Mumbai. To let the villagers know service had arrived, Bharti staged a traditional dance performance next to the new tower.

Cellular providers initially tapped developed markets, and when those were saturated, big cities and suburbs in the developing world provided easy growth. But to expand further, cellular companies want to reach hundreds of millions more potential customers who live outside the main population centers.

Almost two billion new subscribers are projected to start using mobile phones in the next five years, and 80% of them live in developing-world markets, according to estimates by Sweden's Telefon AB L.M. Ericsson. In India alone, more than seven million new cellphone subscribers recently have been signing up each month, bringing the total close to 200 million subscribers in a country of 1.1 billion.

The economics of that growth get dicey. Indian cellular companies charge less than two cents a minute, among the lowest rates in the world, and the average bill is under $10 a month compared with about $50 in the U.S. The more that cellular companies penetrate India's rural areas, the higher the costs to set up and maintain networks. Yet rural customers, living on an average of less than $2 a day, tend to spend even less on phone service than their wealthier urban counterparts. Only companies that can cut costs while expanding their networks can profitably pursue the untapped market.

India, with most of its people living in villages in the countryside, has become a laboratory for how to make networks work cheaply in areas where hot climates and unreliable electricity drive up costs. As companies figure it out here, their successful experiments are being exported to other developing regions including Africa and Southeast Asia.

Its Indian rivals are innovating as well. Essar Telecom Infrastructure Ltd., which manages towers for cellular provider Vodafone Essar Ltd. and others, is building towers with lighter steel and more efficient designs to reduce construction costs. It's also working on running its towers on liquefied petroleum gas, which is cheaper than diesel.

Reliance Communications Ltd. plans its own massive tower rollout this year. It is using factories in China to build easy-to-assemble tower kits for export to India to double its coverage. Companies in India are also beginning to explore ways to share their infrastructure to cut costs, as cellular operators regularly do in developed markets. Now, there are as many as four towers in one spot. Ericsson also has developed what it calls "expanders" to extend the coverage of each tower antenna by 30%. The technology, partly developed in India, is now being used in Nigeria and Bangladesh.

Mr. Price and other executives in the Indian cellphone industry say they have been consistently surprised by the pent-up demand for phone service in the country's hinterland. Often, when Bharti's new towers go into operation, the added capacity is quickly overwhelmed with new users.

Mr. Price points to the state of Bihar -- one of India's poorest regions, where half the population of around 90 million lives below the poverty line -- as one of Bharti's fastest growth areas. "In the whole state of Bihar we cannot put in the sites fast enough," he says. "It is rocking. It is just rocking."

Such success is gratifying for Mr. Price, who got a taste for the rough side of expatriate life when he first arrived in India. With regular blackouts in his apartment and such persistent stomach problems that he lost 40 pounds, he didn't know if he could see out his first two-year contract. "My best friend was the gastroenterologist," he recalls.

Now, Mr. Price spends long weekends every other month on his 43-foot yacht off the coast of Thailand. He says he has no plans to leave India anytime soon.
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