SILENCE IN SYRIA, PANIC IN IRAN
Here some good news, enjoy!
Taro
Written by Dr. Jack Wheeler
Wednesday, 19 September 2007
One of India's top ranking generals assigned to liaise
with the Iranian military recently returned to New Delhi from
several days in Tehran - in a state of complete amazement.
"Everyone in the government and military can only talk
of one thing," he reports. "No matter whom I talked to, all they
could do was ask me, over and over again, 'Do you think the Americans
will attack us?' 'When will the Americans attack us?' 'Will the
Americans attack us in a joint operation with the Israelis?' How
massive will the attack be?' on and on, endlessly. The Iranians are
in a state of total panic."
And that was before September 6. Since then, it's
panic-squared in Tehran. The mullahs are freaking out in fear. Why?
Because of the silence in Syria.
On September 6, Israeli Air Force F-15 and F-16s conducted a
devastating attack on targets deep inside Syria near the
city of Dayr az-Zawr. Israel's military censors have muzzled the
Israeli media, enfo! rcing an extraordinary silence abut the identity
of the targets.
Massive speculation in the world press has followed, such as
Brett Stephens' Osirak II? in yesterday's (9/18) Wall St. Journal.
Stephens and most everyone else have missed the real story. It is
not Israel's silence that "speaks volumes" as he claims,
but Syria's. Why would the Syrian government be so tight-lipped about
an act of war perpetrated on their soil?
The first half of the answer lies in this story that
appeared in the Israeli media last month (8/13): Syria's Antiaircraft
System Most Advanced In World.
Syria has gone on a profligate buying spree, spending vast sums on
Russian systems, "considered the cutting edge in aircraft
interception technology."
Syria now "possesses the most crowded antiaircraft
system in the world," with "more than 200 anti aircraft batteries of
different types," some of which are so new that they have been
installed in Syria "before being introduced into Russian operation service."
While you're digesting that, take a look at the map of
Syria:
Notice how far away Dayr az-Zawr is from Israel. An F15/16 attack
there is not a tiptoe across the border, but a deep, deep penetration
of Syrian airspace. And guess what happened with the Russian
super-hyper-sophisticated cutting edge anti aircraft missile batteries
when that penetration took place on September 6th.
Nothing.
El blanko. Silence. The systems didn't even light up,
gave no indication whatever of any detection of enemy aircraft invading
Syrian airspace, zip, zero, nada. The Israelis (with a little techie
assistance from us) blinded the Russkie anti aircraft systems so
completely the Syrians didn't even know they were blinded.
Now you see why the Syrians have been scared
speechless. They thought they were protected - at enormous expense -
only to discover they are defenseless. As in naked.
Thus the Great Iranian Freak-Out - for this means Iran
is just as nakedly defenseless as Syria. I can tell you that there are a
lot of folks in the Kirya (IDF headquarters in Tel Aviv) and the
Pentagon right now who are really enjoying the mullahs' predicament.
Let's face it: scaring the terror masters in Tehran out of their wits is
fun.
It's so much fun, in fact, that an attack destroying Iran's nuclear facilities
and the Revolutionary Guard command/control centers has been delayed,
so that France (under new management) can get in on the fun too.
On Sunday (9/16), Sarkozy's foreign minister Bernard Kouchner announced that
"France should prepare for the possibility of war over Iran's nuclear program."
All of this has caused Tehran to respond with maniacal threats.
On Monday (9/17), a government website proclaim ed that "600
Shihab-3 missiles" will be fired at targets in Israel in response to an
attack upon Iran by the US/Israel. This was followed by Iranian deputy
air force chief Gen. Mohammad (!) Alavi announcing today (9/19) tha "we
will attack their (Israeli) territory with our fighter bombers as a
response to any attack."
A sure sign of panic is to make a threat that everyone
knows is a bluff. So our, and Tel Aviv's response to Iranian bluster is
a thank-you-for-sharing yawn and a laugh. Few things rattle the mullahs'
cages more than a yawn and a laugh.
Yet no matter how much fun this sport with the mullahs
is, it is also deadly serious. The pressure build-up on Iran is getting
enormous. Something is going to blow and soon. The hope is that the
blow-up will be internal, that the regime will implode from within.
But make no mistake: an all-out full regime take-out air
assault upon Iran is coming if that hope doesn't materialize within the
next 60 to 90 days. The Sept. 6 attack on Syria was the shot across
Iran's bow.
So - what was attacked near Dayr az-Zawr? It's possible
it was North Korean "nuclear material" recently shipped to Syria, i.e.,
stuff to make radioactively "dirty" warheads, but nothing to make a real
nuke with as the Norks don't have real nukes (see Why North Korea's Nuke
Test Is Such Good News, October 2006).
Another possibility is it was to take out a stockpile of long-range Zilzal
surface-to-surface missiles recently shipped from Iran for an attack on Israel.
A third is it was a hit on the stockpile of Saddam's chemical/bio weapons snuck
out of Iraq and into Syria for safekeeping before the US invasion of April 2003.
But the identity of the target is not the story - for the primary point of the attack
was not to destroy that target. It was to shut down Syria's Russian air defense system
during the attack. Doing so made the attack an incredible success.
Syria is shamed and silent. Iran is freaking out in panic. Defenseless enemies are fun. |
