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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: russwinter who wrote (87045)	9/28/2007 7:46:47 PM
From: bart13	Read Replies (1) of 110194

Same here on April/May 2006 and I got mostly out on the parabolic move, and then had a series of losses shorting the S&P starting in June - the bear trap boogie that caught you too. That led to a bunch of research of what I was missing and is when I came up with TIOs and a few other items. The only TIO ops that haven't resulted in stock market up moves since then have been the ones since June 2007... and who knows how much further down the markets would have gone without them. I basically view TIOs as a proxy for the PWG, aka PPT. If the dollar drops 10%, the markets will probably go up some percentage of that, even with the recession. But I'm still bearish and won't trade anything but short term on them... surreal is a great word for it... it's panglossian too. Gold is different - I've been holding leveraged long since late August with an expectation of a peak sometime in December around the next FOMC meeting. Same with miners but the miners position is light when compared with the futures longs. For what its worth, the next Armstrong turn is in March. We also have a major Bradley turn coming up on Oct. 17th.

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