SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
From: andiron10/25/2007 4:21:13 PM
  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
US net household is ~60 trillion USD if calculated in terms of EURO, the net worth didnot go up in the last 4 yrs!!

in any case:
20 trill (house)can adjust down to 12-14 triilion (pretty huge)--deflation despite goosing up M3

now remaining 40 tril owes itself to stock /bond market. Both in bubble territory (stocks so if normalized earnings are taken into account)
Of course a major chunk of stock market gains msut come from emerging BRIC as well as hyperinflated commodities..

So deflation in housing wealth -----> deflation in stock/bond wealth

i am puzzled UK/parts of euroland housing bubble(& housing related securities) haven't nudged down much..once that comes along, it will be party time.

calculatedrisk.blogspot.com
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext