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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (87959)	10/26/2007 12:05:47 PM
From: bart13	Read Replies (2) of 110194

That's more true on adjusting for dollar changes than you may think. Here's the same data but simply viewed as per individual rather than per household... and with the full CPI+lies correction, it shows that the '90s gains have already been lost... and without additional dollar corrections (my best guesstimate is that it would drop the green & blue lines an additional 3-4% since 1971 and 1-2% before that). It's not a pretty sight at all, partially since the next "return to the mean" target is to the Carter period and partially since one could look at the longer term green line and how it shows a head & shoulders target even lower - the early '70s. <ng> This chart is one of my "best" charts for showing why I actually started doing my own work a few years ago. The amount of false data extant is so much higher than I ever suspected that it still surprises me... and bums me too.

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