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Strategies & Market Trends : Peabody Coal vanguard retirement forum

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From: MACD X10/27/2007 1:31:37 PM
   of 75
 
10-28-07 weekend update NO CHANGE

stockcharts.com

The above chart showing the three investments that I am focusing on are the large cap, mid cap and small cap group.

This chart will determine which group I think is outperforming the other groups over a 6 month period of time.

And as it has been from the beginning the large cap group is the winner. This will likely be the case for a long while as the small cap group just ended a 4 or 5 year leadership role and will likely not step up as the leader in the near future.

But we will watch and see what happens.

stockcharts.com

As for our fund the vanguard prime cap , which is the chart above, it is showing no change also as the blue line on the chart is over the red line and this is signaling that the uptrend is in tact.

Each week now we continue to have no change, this is a good thing and what we want. This system is not a day trading system or a quick get in and out system, but a long term system that keeps you invested on the long trends with very few trades and gets you out if market condition get to the point that the trend is starting to go down.

It would take about a 10% loss to give the signal to exit. This is very little compared to 30 and 40% declines that are common in bear markets of which we havent had for the last 5 years.

There is a fund that is available to workers at Peabody that is a small cap fund. Anyone having it in thier porfolio would do well to exit from it. The chart is below

stockcharts.com

The chart above shows a perfect example of what a sell signal would look like if it were to accurr on our fund the vanguard prime cap.

Notice that a long term trendline has been broken to the downside and that the blue line has crossed under the red line, this is the signal to exit and what we watch as our trading signal.

Our fund was up 1 1/2 percent last week as the 2 worst month of all, Sept and Oct, are over and no down move occurred, we will now start entering the strongest month of the market Nov. thru May.
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