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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (88371)11/2/2007 6:36:30 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
There is a limit to currency debasement, even though this
seems unlikely at the moment. As the dollar devalues, the US net
international investment position (currently -2.9 Trillion,
much less than accumulated trade deficit) will become positive,
since US foreign investments are bound to grow much faster
than foreign investments in the US. Talk about trade deficit
being "forgiven". So no, hyperinflation, defined as 50% or
more a MONTH CPI increase, is not very likely, not at this
level of printing. That said, the dollar will quite likely fall
further to as low as 60-s, and maybe even 40-s. That will seem
like hyperinflation.
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