Slider says: "I'll have some time this evening to catch up and post some thoughts on why I think we're going into Iran and soon...
Saw it with my own eye's."
I don't know what part of the country you are located, but you mentioned you saw something with your own eyes "for the 3rd time" which seemed to convice you of coming military action against Iran.
So my imagination is working here, about what you saw, for the 3rd time
so here's my guess, and my own theory, based on what I saw in 1990-91, and again in late 2002, early 2003.
What happened in February-March of '91 and '03?
1991 Desert Storm invasion Kuwait-Iraq
2003 Cobra-II invasion Iraq
Q. why does the military prefer to its mideast land offensives in Feb-March?
A. the weather is cooler, they don't like to conduct these large offensives in the 110-120 degree summer Iraq weather, its very, very hard on M-1 Abrams tanks, the troops, and also on aircraft flying in the desert sand storms
okay, the timing is settled, early 2008 is it... an Iran offensive planned for Feb-March of 2008 is possible, its Bush-Cheney's last year in office, last chance to set the world right before a possible Democratic sweep of the elections, and their perception if the Democrats win, we go back on the "defensive", the Pentagon budget gets gutted again like it did under Clinton.
here we are in November 2007, the Pentagon planners are getting ready....what logistics operations are needing to happen NOW, for an offensive to occur in early 2008? they need to be positioning military equipment now. They can't wait till next spring. It takes a few months to move what is needed from the US to the mideast.
could this be something like you saw?
--- Flatcars loaded with U.S. Army or Marine Corps armored vehicles? Saw the same thing in southern Georgia in the prelude to the 1991 Desert Storm war, and again in 2003 before the Iraq invasion ... miles and miles of flatcars loaded with Abrams M-1 tanks, Bradley fighting vehicles, and other armored vehicles ...leaving the big Albany, GA Marine Corps depot, destined for loading on Military Sealift Command ships waiting at seaports in the Southeast US, then on to the mideast.
--- I've heard some chatter in my neck of the woods from some old Navy buddies in Special Operations, SEAL team types, hearing some low level murmurs that something is brewing over there, the sabre rattling rhetoric is very much like 2002 lead up to Cobra-II. This recent bruhaha in Pakistan is most inconvenient timing for the neocon team, they need their boy Musharaf to keep a lid on it for the time being.
.... so I am curious what Slider saw. It may have been something entirely different than I imagined....
But lets face it, IF an offensive against Iran is planned, it would be primarily airstrikes into Iran on IRGC type targes and nuke facilities, along with limited special operations teams moving against select targets inside Iran. And IF an offensive is going to happen, time is getting short for Bush and Cheney to do this. Early 2008, when the weather is cooler, is the only window of time they have left.
--- some great reading if you have the time, about the planning, politics, inside decision making and discussions that took place at the highest levels of DOD, CENTCOM, and the White House leading up to the Iraq invasion of 2003. Both are very well researched books:
"Cobra-II"
"Fiasco"
and I also really liked Bob Woodwards' book "State of Denial".
...the first two books will shock you at the lack of planning for the post invasion occupation in Iraq, the cavalier attitude shown by Bush and the highest civilian officials in this adminstration, the infighting between DOD and the State Dept (Rumsfeld, Powell, and Condi Rice) which allowed the chaos to eventually occur in Iraq. And the amazing screwups that happened after Paul Bremer took over the occupational authority from General Jay Garner.
A lot of the same neocon idiots who planned the first fiasco are still calling the shots, but thank God the micromanaging egotist Rumsfeld is gone.
... wouldn't another mideast war be convenient in the summer of 2008, for the GOP candidate to call for everyone to rally around, cuz "we can't trust the Democrats in the war on terror"
geez, I can already hear and see the campaign commercials next summer, just like we saw in the summer of 2004 pre-election.
"you can't trust Hillary"
"you can' trust Obama"
"Rudy will protect Americans, the Democrats will cut n' run"
good luck to all, we'll need it |
