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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: Claude Cormier who wrote (89103)11/22/2007 10:34:46 PM
From: Chaka  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
Here we could have US markets crashing like 1987 or 1930 if we get more calamities or exploding like Argentina a earlier this decades if hyperinflation develops.

This is a common misconception about Argentina's stock market. The crisis developed from 1999 to 2002, with inflation peaking in april 2002 (at 10% monthly rate!). If you look at the Argentina's MERVAL stock index chart, you will notice that the stock index had lost 75% of its value from its peak in late 97 to bottom in early 2002. The explosion really started in mid 2002, presaging the inflation control that started around the same time - the index has gone up 10X from the mid 2002 bottom but part of that explosion can be attributed to the commodity growth cycle.

marketwatch.com
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