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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread
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To: Brumar89 who wrote (17666)11/22/2007 10:56:12 PM
From: neolib  Read Replies (1) of 36921
 
Here is a good summary of Lindzen for you:

The November 10, 2004 online version of Reason magazine reported that Lindzen is "willing to take bets that global average temperatures in 20 years will in fact be lower than they are now."[16] James Annan, a scientist involved in climate prediction, contacted Lindzen to arrange a bet. Annan and Lindzen exchanged proposals for bets, but were unable to agree. Annan offered to pay if temperatures declined, but said that Lindzen would only take 50 to 1 odds on global temperatures in 20 years being lower than they are now.

Lindzen replied to Annan "The quote [at Reason Online] was out of context. I think the odds are about 50-50. I said that if anyone were willing to give warming much higher odds than that, I would be tempted to take the bet."[17]

Lindzen offered Annan an alternative bet. If the temperature change were less than 0.2 °C (0.36 °F), he would win. If the temperature change were between 0.2 °C and 0.4 °C the bet would be off. And if the temperature change were 0.4 °C or greater, Annan would win. He would take 2 to 1 odds.[18]

LOL! In the end Lindzen wanted to win (at 2:1 odds in his favor) even if the temp went up 0.2. Further, he would loose nothing if it went up 0.2 to 0.4. Since we've seen 0.6 in 100 years, 0.4 in 20 years with 2:1 odds looks like he really believes his own crap doesn't it! ROTFLMAO! He's your man though!
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