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Strategies & Market Trends : Can you beat 50% per month?

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To: Smiling Bob who wrote (12568)11/29/2007 4:32:53 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) of 19256
 
July 2006 rally happened on extremely poor breadth. Most
of the initial 42 SP points was a gain from overnight
futures ramp, when the volume in futures was down. The SP
index gained only 3 points during the market hours. This
dynamics has been in place from 2002-2003 lows, so it has been
going on for a long time now. Is this natural? No. Is a certain
single account wanting 15,000 e-mini contracts per minute,
and NOW natural buying? No. There may be derivative-based
explanations, but what does seem natural is for options
dealers to manipulate the indexes higher so that the puts expire
worthless. There are only a handful dealers, who will definitely
go broke if the stock market crashes. The Fed provides
liquidity for them to do that, just when the markets are about to
crash.
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