SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : The Environmentalist Thread

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: neolib who wrote (17901)12/4/2007 11:49:37 AM
From: TimF  Read Replies (2) of 36917
 
That depends on if 0.5m of sea level rise is a severe problem or not.

And whether we are going to get .5m of sea level rise.

Whether that much of a rise is a problem depends on how long it takes to happen. If it happens in a year its a big problem. If it happens in a century, probably not.

At current rates of melting it would take some time to get that .5m. And there is some evidence that as far as Greenland goes the melting may be slowing. Even if that evidence is true its still continuing, and of course the melting could speed up again, but it could also slow down even more, or potentially even reverse.

So, if I may try this again, how much do you think sea levels will rise by 2100? Oh, I forgot, you will just say "I don't know and neither do you". Sorry, I agree with the IPCC

I don't know, and neither do you, and neither does the IPCC. They may have a lot more information than I do, but if I have a quadrillionth of the needed information and they have a billion times as much (which is being very generous to them), then they are still fairly clueless.

They aren't economists and even economists don't know how CO2 production will respond to rising oil prices and various carbon taxes, or trading schemes.

They are not experts on the sun, and even physicists and astronomers who specialize in the appropriate areas don't know exactly how the level of solar radiation will change over time.

They are mostly climatologists, but climatologists have a rather uncertain understanding of weather and climate.

I'm not trying to slam the IPCC. The collective knowledge of the scientists participating in it is apparently the most extensive collection of relevant knowledge that we have. But best that we have can be, and in this case is, far from enough.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext