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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Ruffian who wrote (250512)	12/4/2007 2:05:56 PM
From: michael97123	Read Replies (1) of 281500

if nothing else it lays the groundwork for better relations. The model being followed is trust buy verify as with NK. Finally bush may have morphed into reagan. We are all speculating here and we may be way off base BUT it seems to me that the iranians may have expressed interest in a normalization deal (yet to come) based on success of the surge in iraq more than anything else. I have been saying for the longest time that iran's shiaa arc is as much defensive as offensive. They were almost done in during the war with the saddams iraq. Stability in iraq is very important to iran whether its federal state or three state division.. Civil war in iraq just to bog down the US makes no sense. Al quaeda gone, demoogogs like chavez and perhaps ahmadijad losing favor while folks like syrians begin to moderate. A deal is needed and that deal will focus the west and middle east on the true source of our fears which is al quaeda, particularly in pakistan/afganistan and funded in saudi arabia. If peace breaks out it even gives saudi some cover to reform and confront bin laden.

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