Turds, Traders & Superstitions...
Have you ever seen a baseball, or basketball player go through their little superstitious routines?
In baseball you see hitters go through damn near two minute pagan rites while getting themselves ready in the batters box.
Everything from a basic cup adjustment, to making the cross, tapping the plate "3" times (not 2, not 4), tugging their collar, twirling their bat in vertical circles and adjusting their helmet just so...
It's not any different in basketball. You really see it at the free throw line. They lick their lips, or hold their tongue a certain way... bounce the ball "x" times... add a reverse spin to it - so it bounces back to them and then a cursory double wipe of their hands on their shorts before finally taking the shot.
In football you'll see players who have worn the same under-jersey, lucky t-shirt for years. I can think of at least two hall-of-fame quarterbacks who did. Others when running onto the field during pre-game warm ups, either must always run between the goal posts, or can't step on any of the yard line markers during pre-game.
Traders are no different. They have their lucky charms, trinkets, bobbles and routines too.
And I'm included.
So I have a confession to make...
Anytime I've had a great run, I take a small portion of my profits (now I'm talking about my personal account here) and I'll scan my list of stocks that I've previously passed on for one reason, or another, and who are usually so severely hated, beaten down and over-sold that no one is buying them...and I'll do what I call...
"Throwing a Virgin to the Volcano"
I'll take some of that mad money and buy a really battered, beaten down stock. Something that is dirt cheap, but still has a breath of life in it...and ideally, has the chance to turn into a doubler, or even a triple if it bounces back.
So over the last couple of days - I've been throwing a virgin into the volcano by buying PAL.
I know... I know... the chart looks like a real turd.

BUT!... remember here.... we are:
"Throwing a Virgin to the Volcano"
We are making a sacrifice to the trading gods, and we're using our "mad money" to do it.
And besides, I'm an optimist.
The way I look at it, is this...
... turds float!
-- yes, there's been massive dilution...
-- yes, management sucks...
-- yes, they blew a quarter...not the first, not the last...
...so tell me something we don't all - already know.
Hey, if you got some "mad money"... an unexpected windfall profit from those insurance money puts, from shorting Fannie, or Freddie, or something else...
You just might want to take a look at my little turd that could...(hopefully float).
At the least... I think we'll get a nice little trade here out of it.
At the worst... we keep the trading gods happy!
Ever poopfully yours,
Turd Man
a.k.a. -- S.O.T.B.
Oh, and PS:
You just may want to take a look at Palladium here too. I'll tell you why later... |