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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (97927)12/20/2007 1:37:41 PM
From: Liberty EagleRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
The costs to construct a home can oscillate wildly in a short period of time. Lumber dropped by around 50% since 2005. Skilled labor/mechanical contractor pricing just started to fall in my area (Northern Fairfield County, CT). Rents barely budged in the past 15 years or so. I've been offered land @ a 50% discount to the bubble highs and turned them down. At that price the land was still 35% or so higher than the then frothy (I thought) 1999 levels.

I built out the last of my inventory in the winter of 04. In hind sight a bit early and every one thought I was crazy, but as you know, in RE you would rather sell a little early than stay to late..<G>..

I honestly don't know how the market around here will be 10/15/20 years out, I would imagine up but then again it could be flat in real terms. WAY to early to tell. As a builder I need stability in the market, NOT a steady downward spiral.<g/ng>.

What happens on Wall & Broad and in the credit markets has a direct impact in my market and as you know…..things are ugly….

How will you know the shakeout is complete?

John
(sittin' on a pile of Gold since 04)
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