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Politics : President Barack Obama
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To: ChinuSFO who wrote (4595)12/30/2007 11:14:00 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (1) of 149317
 
I predict Edwards will win Iowa, followed By Hillary and Obama. Going into New Hampshire, a state with almost no minorities, Obama will have real problems. His charisma will keep him alive but assuming Edwards is now the mo-mo guy, he will take South Carolina as he did in 2004. And Nevada and Michigan because of his tremendous union support. So where exactly does Obama win a primary?

Regardless, Obama will continue to have sizeable support, especially amongst anti-establishment young voters and minorities.

Hillary may win New Hampshire but it won't be by enough to help her much. She is the Dem establishment. But since they couldn't break the GOP's filibusters and Bush veto's they're weakened.

Remember the end game, to beat Mitt Romney the GOp establishment candidate who will probably end up beating McCain and Huckabee. Who is strongest against Romney?

Mitt Romney (R) vs. John Edwards (D)
Poll Date Sample Romney (R) Edwards (D) Spread
RCP Average 10/31 to 12/14 - 36.5% 53.0% Edwards +16.5%
Zogby 12/12 - 12/14 1000 LV 38% 50% Edwards +12%
CNN 12/06 - 12/09 RV 37% 59% Edwards +22%
Newsweek 10/31 - 11/01 1002 RV 37% 53% Edwards +16%
Rasmussen 10/31 - 11/01 800 LV 34% 50% Edwards +16%

Edwards wins by a landslide and no one else does. Because red state and heartland conservatives don't really trust or like an east coast elitist Bushie Mormon like Romney.
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