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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: Spekulatius who wrote (29528)1/1/2008 2:26:54 AM
From: Spekulatius  Read Replies (1) of 78687
 
Recent buys:

FTD (12.8$,thanks Brendan)
+LTD growth
+Low valuation (PE EBITDA/EV
+ Dividend
- consumer dependent
- debt

LIZ (20.06$)
+ Brands
+ restructuring
+ LT track record
+ valuation
- consumer dependent
- some weak brands

AHT (7.16$)
+ Dividend yield
+ low FFO/price ratio
- high debt load
- dependent on economy (business travel)

( I also own HPT in the same sector)

The above are all small entry positions purchased today. I have recently added to HRP and EXPGY, CAJ, RICOY, PLA.

I am bearish anything with mortgage exposure in the US because I see home prices thinking in the high single digits next year. What we have been seeing so far is the subprime and the CDO's getting flushed. the next leg down will be when a higher percentage of standard mortgages initiated from 2004 to 2007 will start to default. So i am staying clear of US banks but i do own some thrift conversion stocks trading below book (HTWC and OSHC.

I am LT bullish the NG drillers. those have been shot but i think their day will come again. i own some GW (entry position) CPX , UNT and OIS in this space and plan to add more names.

I prosperous New Year to everyone and let's continue to share our win's and losses and continue to learn from each other.
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