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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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From: JohnM1/9/2008 10:35:02 AM
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Here's the late deciders argument.
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Exit Polls: Hillary Regained Ground Among Late-Deciding Voters
By Greg Sargent - January 9, 2008, 9:24AM

Here are a couple of interesting numbers from the exit polls that shed a bit of light on Hillary's surprise victory over Obama last night.

Among voters who made up their minds yesterday, Hillary beat Obama by 39%-36%, suggesting that the last news cycle of the contest might have played a decisive role in shifting votes Hillary's way. Yes, I admit it -- I'm talking mainly about the wall-to-wall coverage of The Tears, which were effectively the last close look at Hillary these voters had before entering the voting booths.

Meanwhile, among voters who made up their minds in the last three days, Hillary also gained ground, coming in only one point behind Obama, 36%-37% -- numbers that are way out of sync with the big lead Obama had in polls over the weekend and yesterday.

Since Hillary had a relatively solid lead of 41%-37% over Obama among voters who had already made up their minds before last weekend, the late-deciding voters enabled her to regain enough ground to win.

tpmelectioncentral.com
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