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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: JohnM who wrote (45820)	1/9/2008 4:26:19 PM
From: cnyndwllr	Read Replies (6) of 543806

John, it wouldn't surprise me to find that the pre election polls were accurate. I think there was a change in the preferences of voters that built to a tipping point on the day before and the day of the election. Leading up to the election I thought Obama was making a big mistake coming out of Iowa. He kept to his theme of a new America fueled by a new coalition of Dems, Indies and Reps that would result in a spiritual renewal and a return to the principles that made us a great nation. That's a powerful theme but he already held that ground. It was incumbent on him to address the "buyer's remorse" that often follows the rejection of one path and the selection of another. With the press already trumpeting him as the likely winner of the general election he had to convince voters that he also had a non dreamer aspect that was pragmatic and, most of all, competent; that he was the kind of leader they could trust to lead the country capably. He never did. He let that question hang and kept to his message of change, hope and big dreams. Hillary's campaign hit him hard on that issue and I think it hurt him. He also got hurt as a result of the media treatment Hillary received, the ganging up she suffered on the debate and then Edward's comment about emotions which made her a substantially more sympathetic figure. And the theme of the treatment was a perfect fit for attentive women voters because she was unfairly maligned on the basis of feminine characteristics that are unattractive in males but well understood as normal and acceptable by women. A significant number of women probably recalled suffering similar themes of gender based resistance from powerful men. I hope Obama learned a powerful lesson. It's like watching the top two tennis players in the world; one of them can win in straight sets and the final score makes it look like a blowout but if you watched the match you'd have been struck with the fact that each single point was knife-edge close. You can never let up because the difference between winning big or losing is the aggregate of what happens on each of those hard fought points. Regardless, I now agree with your earlier position that this will go on for a long time and that it's going to be tough to call a winner. I think Obama is the best general election candidate by far, I think he has a huge upside for this country and I think he'll win but the Democratic party might choose Hillary. If they do they'd better hope that McCain gets defeated because I think McCain has a very good chance of beating her in the general election. And if that happens we'll continue down the "we'll never back up and we'll teach them what power means" foreign policy path of the Bush Administration. What a tragedy that would be. Ed

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