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Strategies & Market Trends : Rande Is . . . HOME

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To: Rande Is who wrote (57486)1/22/2008 9:12:45 PM
From: Rock_nj  Read Replies (1) of 57584
 
It was only two years ago that the DOW was trading at 11,000 and the NASDAQ was trading at 2,000. Not hard to imagine seeing these indicies trade back at those levels? They could go down a lot further (lest we forget the 80% plunge the NASDAQ took from years 2000 to 2002), but I think the P/Es are telling us the market is fairly valued, as P/Es are very close to historic norms.

Rande, Any thoughts on Peak Oil? I think the world running out of oil supplies is going to be a much bigger shock than the subprime meltdown. Our modern economy literally runs on oil. There are signs that peak oil is either occuring now or is very close. If peak oil happens and we aren't ready to switch to a new energy source(s), then the market meltdown will be severe and last a long time.
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