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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread
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To: longnshort who wrote (19802)1/26/2008 5:58:47 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) of 36921
 
Is that Singer, the "smoking doesn't cause cancer" guy, or Singer, "the ozone hole ain't happening" guy, or Singer, the climatologist?

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Is ozone depletion of proven significance enough to warrent goverment regulation of CFC's? S.F.Singer argues No for the following reasons-

Insufficient experimentation or observation to show that the current downward trend is not due to natural factors, such as the 11year sunspot cycle. Singer does acknowledge that there is sufficient data to show that CFC's are the major cause of ozone depletion (Science, 260) but argues even more strongly that scientist have little certainty about how much ozone is actually being degraded by CFC's. For more info on natural influences see the 'factors influencing ozone concentration' section of the ozone layer tutorial.
The roles of aerosols and nitrogen-oxides in reacting with either ozone or stratospheric chlorine are not well understood.
Refitting and replacing industrial equipment that can not accept CFC alternatives is estimated at $130 billion in the US alone! Singer strongly argues that the consequences of the CFC ban are a lot more certain than the benefits. 'The unfortunate outcome (if the CFC-ozone link proves false) may be the an unconscionable waste of resources, a loss of public trust, and a real setback for the environmental effort.'
nas.nasa.gov
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DOOLITTLE: "Well, you're going to hear from one of the scientists today, Dr. Fred SINGER."
RIVERS: "Dr. SINGER doesn't publish in peer-reviewed documents."

Message 24232855
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