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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: Tommaso who wrote (90719)1/26/2008 10:50:20 PM
From: glenn_a  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
Tommaso.

Message 24237688

That was a very interesting post. Perhaps that which a generation most fears does impact policy response errors in the opposite direction.

((I think that the United States is engaged in an undeclared debt renunciation through currency inflation, and I expect a minimum average inflation rate of 7% compounded over the next five years, leading to a 50% rise in prices, overall, and further depreciation of the dollar against some other currencies. Some important prices may rise more, such as a doubling of grain and gasoline prices.))

Do you see any obstacles to the US continuing to debase their currency without consequences. For example, in bust in 1987, if I'm not mistaken differences in US and European interest rates, and consequent pressure on the US$, led the Fed to raise interest rates to defend the currency, and resulted in a crash in the autumn. Do you see any likelihood of a similar scenario occurring this time around? And if not, why not?

TIA.

glenn
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