The coming US dollar crisis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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To: ggersh who wrote (3703)	1/29/2008 8:06:53 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (2) of 71475

Yes, a 50 bp. cut has by far the largest probability assigned by the market. 25 bp. cut has about a 20% chance, and will be a negative surprise for the stock market. I'm not going to do the guessing game, as I have no idea what the Fed is going to do. Most likely 50 bp., not to risk further immediate meltdown for stocks that can easily turn into a crash. I could even see 75, since this Fed never cared about anything but stock prices. That, perhaps, should confirm a bear market bottom for stocks and push the dollar to new lows. I think there will be a lower bottom for this bear market, maybe not right away. I'd give it a month or two, but you never know.

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