Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (74422)	2/6/2008 10:35:30 PM
From: Sunny Jim	Read Replies (2) of 116555

<<He may finally have the timing just about right. Look around at what is happening in the credit markets.>> I hope so. Here are the comparisons of now and Jan, 2005 when he was predicting that rates would soar (move decimal one place to left to get rate approximation. --------------------2005 -------------Now FVX(5 yr rate) 36.94 ----- 26.74 TNX(10 yr rate) 41.32 ----- 39.14 TYX(30 yr rate) 45.9 ----- 43.74 In other words, rates are lower today than they were in early 2005. They've bounced up and down in the meantime but nothing meaningful. If one were betting on rates rising, they certainly have a relatively low base to rise from now.

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