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Strategies & Market Trends : SiliconInvestor All Stars Forum
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To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (1594)2/12/2008 1:31:54 PM
From: John Vosilla of 1718
 
LIG liked your post..while I totally agree these trends you mention have been going on for a good 10-15 years and we've had several booms and busts with two of the most ridiculous bubbles of all... dotbombs and housing

Message 24301065

We are in recession no matter what the powers at be call it due to understating inflation and overstating real GDP by several percent which along with the housing bust and folks not being able to keep up with rising costs is why we have the very poor approval ratings of our leaders.

Misallocation of capital for this stupid war, skyrocketing commodities, massive deficits and liquidity to save our banking system are going to lead to stagflation and much higher rates down the road..we are being 'saved' from a very serious recession like in 1973-74 only because long term rates remain so low IMHO and corporate excesses were cleared out in 2001-02..

Hey brilliant minds can disagree on the 'flation' part<g>..to me coming out of the other sides is now what it is all about as we all knew the housing bubble and subsequent bust was going to be a diaster. But how to play it whether your costs of living triple in 10 years or go down in a cash is king environment like much of the 1930's is the biggest fork in the road of all for us investors IMHO
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