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Strategies & Market Trends : Peabody Coal vanguard retirement forum

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From: MACD X	2/16/2008 11:44:30 AM
	of 75

02 15 07 No change remain in the bond fund, but be ready Last week I mentioned that I may change recommendation mid week and get into some of the stock related funds that are available to use. the list below are the funds that I am tracking stockcharts.com Something that I would like you to notice is that all the charts except 2 are black. I colored the charts black that have the red moving average line that is over the blue moving average line. I have talked about these lines each week and I would hope you understand what they mean. Blue line over red is bullish and will turn the chart green and would be a fund that may interest me. Red over blue is a fund in a down trend and leaves me with no interest in these kind of fund because it is in a down trend. I have colored these charts black. Of all the funds offered only the bond fund and the international growth fund is in a bullish configuration. But with the international growth fund down over 20% in the last few months it also has no interest to me at this time. The thing to notice in the funds above is that all with out exception have price below the blue line and are testing this line as resistance, this is what stock funds do when they are in a down trend. They stay below the blue and red lines. Now on the other hand our bond fund is above both the blue and the red line and is a green chart because of this. Currently last week we lost 3/4% on our bond fund and price is now testing the blue line from above and will likely start another rise next week as the stocks funds may make another move down. This is hard to predict. stockcharts.com When and if price crossed above the blue line on most of charts that are offered to use price may then test the red line from below. If this occurrs I may call for a change of funds recommendation. We are now 3 months into the bond fund and it may go a lot longer. We may not make much money in a down trend but we shouldnt loose much either as I am sure your friends have told you that they have. We have missed the pain. The next trick will be to get re-entered in a timely manner. It would take a market rise of about 10 to 15% before a confirmed signal to re-enter the market. I would like to try to capture some of this gain before this occurrs. Keep watching a switch could come mid week if we get priced going over the blue lines on the charts above may cause me to signal a change. If you are just joining this site it is too late to enter the bond fund , wait for the next change in recommendation to get started following this site. .

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