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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (29955)	2/17/2008 10:59:00 AM
From: richardred	Read Replies (2) of 78748

Welcome back Paul. I came over and recently saw you sold some AIRT. Did you sell after the earnings because of the stock being of micro cap exposure? After the recent earnings release I've actually added some more. Looking forward, I view it as being an even better value now. Based on forward earnings and a recent backlog addition for Global. No question in my mind micro caps and small caps are not favored in weak market conditions. I've been sitting on the sidelines and cautious on the market until only recently. Due to recent market conditions, I'm for the most part trying to stick to more valued orientated buys. I've added to GFF even though I'm sitting with a total position loss on it. I don't view it as a value based on earnings, but value of the companies assets. ICOC and POL I view as a values based on a recovery of forward earnings and asset values. I believe slowing economic conditions have been a recent weakness in these stocks and many others stocks with global industrial exposure. I've been looking still at SEH, but they way overpaid for a recent acquisition witch used to be owned by Wellman. I actually still own a very small position in WLM. I'm fairly sure I'll be writing the rest off this year. SEH has come down in price since then. SHLM has alway had strong European exposure. Most in this competitive group can benefit from a weak dollar when economic conditions improve. I can also say I've been wrong many times. I also saw Mr. Buffett or lets say Charlie Munger have recently added Kraft. This one surprises me. I though he would have picked UL over Kraft. I sold my UL last year at a tidy profit, but wouldn't mind re-entering if it reaches oversold conditions. It could be because of his P&G exposure why he would not buy a UL position? Kraft is also ironic that Kraft once owned Duracell Battery now owned by him through P&G's purchase of Gillette. I also thought Gillette way overpaid for Duracell (Around 7 billion). It also looks like Duracell might be on the block for sale again by P&G. news.enquirer.com

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