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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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To: Giordano Bruno who wrote (4377)2/18/2008 12:54:24 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) of 71447
 
I think structurally US economy is worse off than prior to
the Great Depression due to the credit bubble of epic
proportions. The Fed will try to inflate
the mess, and might try to blow another stock market bubble.
All that at a cost - the clownbuck. In the best case scenario
I see 5-7 more years of stagnation/slow growth, as the Fed
tries to spread the pain over time. In the worst case scenario
I see extremely high inflation or hyperinflation. The
government can't afford to bail out both the Real Estate and the
stock market now, because essentially the government is broke.
Either SS and medicare will have to go, or tons of printing
will have to commence. This won't be immediate. First
they will issue more T-s.

The positive thing - the DOW/gold ratio is now pretty reasonable,
but that does not mean the secular bear market is over.
It just means stocks have declined in real terms for 8 years
now.
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