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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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From: Paul Kern2/27/2008 7:05:20 AM
Read Replies (1) of 306849
 
WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Following is data from the Mortgage Bankers Association of America's weekly mortgage application survey, released Wednesday.

Seasonally Unadjusted Seasonally Adjusted
Week : Market Purchase Refi Market Purchase Refi
Ending : Index Index Index Index Index Index
2/22/08 623.7 350.7 2213.0 665.1 358.2 2458.9
2/15/08 840.2 377.3 3533.8 822.8 357.6 3533.8
02/08/08 1066.5 407.4 4901.5 1063.5 403.9 4901.5
02/01/08 1071.0 386.5 5054.0 1086.6 405.3 5054.0
01/25/08 1025.4 324.4 5103.6 1054.9 362.0 5103.6
01/18/08 928.2 369.7 4178.2 981.5 439.9 4178.2
01/11/08 836.4 365.7 3575.5 906.4 461.2 3575.5
01/11/08 836.4 365.7 3575.5 906.4 461.2 3575.5
01/04/08 507.5 251.8 1995.3 706.0 414.0 2494.2
12/28/07 280.2 161.2 972.5 533.9 360.8 1620.9
12/21/07 530.3 292.3 1915.3 603.8 394.5 1915.3
12/14/07 577.6 317.1 2093.6 653.8 422.2 2093.6
12/07/07 733.6 364.8 2879.8 811.8 472.0 2879.8
11/30/07 723.6 373.5 2761.3 791.8 464.3 2761.3


Seasonally Adjusted data for week ending 2/22/2008

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 665.1 822.8 -19.2 1054.9 626.1
Purchase 358.2 357.6 0.2 362.0 401.3
Refi 2458.9 3533.8 -30.4 5103.6 1943.5
Fixed-Rate 592.9 752.6 -21.2 1011.3 518.0
ARM 2183.7 2301.8 -5.1 1981.0 2896.1

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 907.1 1153.4 -21.4 1537.6 928.9
Purchase 499.6 507.1 -1.5 522.4 625.6
Refi 2571.6 3784.1 -32.0 5682.2 2170.8
Fixed-Rate 798.7 1045.9 -23.6 1470.4 765.1
ARM 3130.7 3356.7 -6.7 2916.6 4287.8

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 261.5 271.8 -3.8 250.2 121.3
Purchase 155.9 143.8 8.4 132.8 80.6
Refi 1878.9 2226.9 -15.6 2053.5 745.0
Fixed-Rate 249.6 263.7 -5.3 246.5 106.2
ARM 523.9 451.1 16.1 333.4 451.4



Unadjusted data for week ending 2/22/2008

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 623.7 840.2 -25.8 1025.4 593.4
Purchase 350.7 377.3 -7.1 324.4 394.8
Refi 2213.0 3533.8 -37.4 5103.6 1749.2
Fixed-Rate 556.0 768.5 -27.7 983.0 490.9
ARM 2047.9 2350.4 -12.9 1925.5 2744.5

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 849.5 1176.5 -27.8 1497.6 879.8
Purchase 489.1 535.1 -8.6 468.1 615.6
Refi 2314.4 3784.1 -38.8 5682.2 1953.7
Fixed-Rate 748.0 1067.0 -29.9 1432.1 724.7
ARM 2931.8 3424.1 -14.4 2840.7 4061.1

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 247.3 279.4 -11.5 238.0 115.7
Purchase 152.6 151.7 0.6 119.0 79.3
Refi 1691.0 2226.9 -24.1 2053.5 670.5
Fixed-Rate 236.0 271.1 -12.9 234.5 101.3
ARM 495.4 463.8 6.8 317.2 430.7



Percent Change In Percent Change
No. Of Applications In Dollar Value Avg
Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Loan
($000)
Total -25.8 -39.2 5.1 -25.5 -41.3 2.4 244.6
Purchase -7.1 8.1 -11.2 -7.0 10.5 -5.8 254.3
Refi -37.4 -56.6 26.5 -37.8 -59.9 12.2 235.6
Fixed-Rate -27.6 -43.4 13.3 -27.6 -47.8 11.4 210.5
ARM -12.9 6.4 -25.4 -19.1 -10.9 -16.1 438.0


Conventional -27.8 -43.3 -3.4 -27.4 -44.4 -4.8 256.1
Purchase -8.6 4.5 -20.5 -8.2 8.6 -13.4 270.7
Refi -38.8 -59.3 18.5 -39.5 -62.1 5.3 243.6
Fixed-Rate -29.9 -47.8 3.2 -29.9 -51.2 3.2 221.1
ARM -14.4 3.2 -27.8 -20.0 -12.6 -20.8 439.0


Government -11.5 3.9 113.7 -4.7 11.0 168.4 178.4
Purchase 0.6 28.2 92.4 2.3 25.5 134.8 179.5
Refi -24.1 -17.7 152.2 -13.0 -4.4 235.6 177.0
Fixed-Rate -12.9 0.6 132.9 -3.7 10.8 179.7 154.5
ARM 6.8 56.2 15.0 -8.3 11.9 133.0 427.0



Change in Contract Rate (bps)
Effective Total Contract 1 Week 4 Weeks 1 Year
Rate Points Rate Ago Ago Ago
30-Year Fixed 6.50 1.15 6.27 17 67 11
15-Year Fixed 6.03 1.01 5.77 23 74 -7
7-Year Balloon 4.84 0.91 4.61 -3 29 -77
5-Year Balloon 5.57 0.93 5.33 13 46 -56
ARM, 1-Yr Tsy 6.05 0.86 5.84 12 14 -8
FHA 203 (b) 6.32 1.19 6.11 11 51 -13


All rates except FHA 203(b) are for 80% loan-to-value mortgage.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 27, 2008 07:00 ET (12:00 GMT)
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