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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed
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To: Giordano Bruno who wrote (360607)3/3/2008 11:56:33 AM
From: stan_hughes  Read Replies (2) of 436258
 
She's still vastly outnumbered by the sell-side lemmings -- remember this long-winded guy back last Labor Day?

Message 23849670

Way down the page you get to the part about WS having to lower bank earning forecasts --

"IMO the next logical shoe to drop will be conventional WS warnings and/or disclosures about the magnitude of reportable earnings losses in the financials due to the vaporization of their MBS/CDO/CLO/LBO fee income streams as well as their hedge fund losses. Hell, business has positively sucked lately, so they can't possibly be doing as well as they thought they would be when they last gave guidance. As of last Friday, Q3 is 2/3 over, and by now it should be as plain as day to any banker that they are not going to make their Q3 numbers -- some will fess up sooner than others, but they will all have to do it eventually, so I expect to start reading these types of announcements real soon. As an added reaction, these earnings warnings will (should?) also be accompanied by sharply reduced forecasts for the financial group's earnings going forward as well. And since financials make up the largest part of the SPX, we are talking about taking a lot of the E out of both the trailing and forward P/E -- and the buoyancy of E has been one of the two principal arguments cited by bulls that SPX 1500 is 'not overvalued'"

It's now 6 months later, but at least some of WS analysts are starting to come around -- maybe their shorts are now fully established LOL. No doubt they will all be recommending 'underweight financials' by 2010
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