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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: neolib who wrote (51644)	3/4/2008 4:26:55 PM
From: slacker711	Read Replies (1) of 543149

You need a plot of those metrics vs population size. My claim is that from 300M to 6B it is pretty flat. I can tell you that it doesnt work this way in mobile phones. The CDMA market has suffered from a lack of economies of scale even though yearly unit sales are in the 200 million range. That still isnt enough when the GSM family of technologies is selling close to 1 billion units a year. When the two technologies compete, GSM generally has a substantial advantage even though CDMA is the more capable technology. GSM has cheaper prices, a more varied portfolio of devices, cheaper infrastructure and a better supply chain. After years of following the mobile market, the one concrecte conclusion that I have come to is that no one market is large enough to create a technology. China is attempting to do so in 3G with their home-grown TD-SCDMA technology. My prediction is that it will fail miserably....even a billion plus home market isnt enough when it is competing against technologies that are used by the rest of the world. Slacker

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