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Politics : View from the Center and Left
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To: Dale Baker who wrote (51730)3/5/2008 9:39:36 AM
From: slacker711  Read Replies (3) of 541747
 
The crossover vote in TX and OH was less important than other big groups, but the talk jocks are closer to their dream of having Hillary to run against.

I hate to say it, but the talk show morons might have had an impact. If you look at the exit polling in both Ohio and Texas, self-identified Republicans were about 9% in both primaries. 


         Republicans    Obama   Clinton
Ohio         9%          49%       49%           
Texas        9%          52%       47%


I couldnt find much data from earlier primaries that split out the Republicans because they usually made up too small a portion of the polling. However, the two states I did find were Wisconsin and Missouri (I looked through almost all of the primary states).


            Republicans   Obama  Clinton
Missouri       6%          75%     21%
Wisconsin      9%          72%     28%


If Texas Republicans had split 75% towards Obama, it would have resulted in almost a 4 point swing in the overall numbers....enough to have given him the win.

Slacker
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