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Politics : President Barack Obama

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To: michael97123 who wrote (13431)3/13/2008 6:33:50 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) of 149317
 
Obama had better do the math on that one. If they allow MI and FL delegates to be seated with 1/2 a vote, then here's what would happen:

Florida pledged delegates = 185 + 26 supers
Hillary = 50% popular vote to Obama's 33%

Rumor has it that Hillary will get almost all the Florida supers if they are allowed to sit. So here's the worst case scenario:
Hillary = 93 + 26 = 119 delegates
Obama = 61

Hillary net gain = 58 delegates

Michigan pledged delegates = 128 + 28 supers
Obama was not on the ticket, so he gets nothing
Hillary got 55% of popular vote, so she'd get 64 plus all the supers = 92

So out of this fiasco, she could net 153 delegates. Multiply that by the 1/2 vote each gets, and she would net 77 over Obama, if the worst case scenario comes to pass. That would be close enough to potentially steal the nomination from Obama.

If I were on Obama's staff, I'd pull out all the stops to ensure this outcome does not happen.
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