Waiting for the big Kahuna Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: robert b furman who wrote (79743)	3/15/2008 11:40:16 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) of 94695

11 Trillion real value for the leveraged derivative instruments is way too high, this derivative bubble has to collapse. It is NOT a norm that US stock market is now driven by options and futures markets. The volume is also extreme - secular bottoms are very quiet and gradual, no volume. This can't grow to infinity. It can take down a large percentage of US financial institutions with it. The bullish scenario is a fast BK type collapse, including the dollar, very painful, but clears the system, however much lower the DOW may be. The next recovery then is a REAL one, driven by vastly increased jobs in US manufacturing (which remained in a bear market for decades!) The bearish scenario is the Japanese - insolvent banks are allowed to be walking dead for decades.

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