₪ David Pescod's Late Edition March 11, 2008 CGX ENERGY (V-OYL) $3.08 -0.06 PAN ORIENT ENERGY (V-POE) $11.36 -0.09
Of the oil stories that we have followed over 2007, CGX Energy was undoubtedly the best performing being almost a ten-bagger. We suspect in the year 2009, when it starts drilling offshore Guyana once again, it will be one of the stories of the day.
For 2007, one of the other best performing stories was Pan Orient and one of the few analysts that followed it was Warren Verbonac and we have to thank him for that because we would have never written it up if it wasn’t for his work. It also was a good performer, but it too, has had quite a correction in the current market.
So what is Verbonac writing now? From his latest comment (if you would like a copy of Warren’s latest t h o u g h t s , e - m a i l D e b b i e a t d e b - bie_lewis@canaccord.com) regarding Pan Orient, he writes, “Among our coverage of international juniors, the best performing stock has been Pan Orient (POE:TSX), which moved from $3.25 at the end of 2006 to $15.16 by the end of 2007, an increase of 4.7 times. We have been covering the stock since late 2005, when the stock was trading at $1.95, and the extremely strong price performance is essentially due to one concession, Block L44/43 in Thailand. Blocks L33/43 and L53/48 have yet to be drilled, and since L33/43 is adjacent to L44/43 with the same geological trend, there is still extensive growth potential – with at least 30 more volcanic structures yet to be drilled. The extensive fracturing system in these volcanic structures has led to some prolific wells, the best of which is flowing almost 4,000 bd – a record for onshore Thailand. Only the best-looking zone in each well has been tested or produced, up to four zones are being encountered in these wells. In the three years since Pan Orient took over these properties, the early drilling success has led the Company to be the largest onshore driller and producer in the country.
The Company is pursuing other opportunities in Asia, news of which may be announced this year, and a divestiture of heavy oil assets in Alberta could provide funds to accelerate exploration and production activities in Asia.”
OILEXCO INC. (T-OIL) $14.85 +0.55
Last Friday was an interesting day as Josef Schachter of Schachter Asset Management and Maison Placements, as well as Glenn MacNeill, Vice President of Investments with Sentry Select Capital are both on BNN as two of the featured stock pickers and both of them pick Oilexco as one of their top three picks. Obviously, this stock has a following, but as Schachter mentioned the other day, some of the feedback that he gets from institutions (while many follow Oilexco and all have hopes for it) there is the suggestion the stock may not make its next bounce until it gets higher production numbers or closer to higher “expected” production numbers.
When we check with Rob Elgie, who is the purveyor of news and information for Oilexco as to when exactly those higher production numbers will occur, he tells us, “we will be tweaking with some of the current production and hope to raise it a bit over the coming months.” But he suggests Oilexco’s big bump in production comes near year-end when they expect production from Shelley and five wells from Balmoral to come on stream and at that time, he suggests “production should hit 45,000 barrels a day.” |