Simply put, blacks and whites are not doing well together in America, circa 2008. Obama's battle with Clinton, all the pretty rhetoric notwithstanding, is remorselessly exposing that undiscussed fact. Obama is hurt by this -- severely it would appear -- in states where the races interact extensively, particularly at the working class level; while, in states with few blacks, the lamentable state of America's race relations is masked and Obama does reasonably well among white Democrats.
But the states with extensive racial interaction are precisely those that Democrats regularly carry, or need to carry, to win.
Golly gee, do you think that Team Hillary is making this very argument behind closed doors right this minute to 796 Democratic superdelegates? I know I do.
The superdelegates, being pros, all want three things, guaranteed:
1. to side with the winner
2. to get a good price for their vote
3. to avoid responsibility for their descision
They have a long time yet to hold their fingers in the wind and watch events. I have heard several senior pundits say the race will be decided by the end of primary season in June but I can't believe that. I think the superdelegates will want to hold off as long as possible so they can all stampede in the same direction at the last minute.
I'm curious, have you heard any superdelegates make endorsements in the last two weeks? I haven't but maybe I missed some. |
