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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer
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To: davidk555 who wrote (2041)3/25/2008 7:17:16 PM
From: octavianRead Replies (1) of 2121
 
David K. said:

<<Before we move on to the next sentiment indicator, I want you to check this out. I searched my newsletter archives for the period of early October, 2002. That was the ultimate low of the last bear market when the S&P 500 had lost 50% of its value, and the Nasdaq Composite had lost nearly 80%. At that time, the Investors Intelligence survey showed that 31% of advisors polled were bullish and 39.1% were bearish. That is almost exactly where we are today! That is why I am so excited about this indicator.>>

--David, Dr. John Hussman of Hussman Funds said the sentiment numbers are "normal for early in a bear market."

Do you know what the numbers were after the first 15-20% down in 2001-02?

<<Money Flow: According to AMG Data in the week ending March 19, 2008, equity funds (including ETF activity) reported net cash inflows of $22.93 billion with Domestic funds reporting net inflows of $24.19 billion and non-domestic funds reporting net outflows of -$1.2 billion. Tremendous numbers!!! We haven't seen that kind of money flowing into domestic funds in a long time.>>

--I don't understand why that much INFLOW into U.S funds would be bullish. Aren't bullish sentiment indicators based on a high level of negativity? It seems that OUTFLOWS would be bullish, not INFLOWS.

What am I missing?

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