Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer

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To: octavian who wrote (2042)	3/26/2008 10:53:48 PM
From: davidk555	Read Replies (1) of 2121

Sure, just let me know what month you are interested in the sentiment data, and I could search for it in my newsletter archive. As for John Hussman, I haven't tracked him closely, so I can't really comment on his record. I do recall that he has been saying the market has been overvalued for the past 5 years. I was just pointed out how similar the sentiment data in the investors intelligence survey was last week compared to when the last bear market ended on October 9, 2002. As far as mutual fund flows, you have to watch them overtime before they give any insight. I don't use that as a pure contrarian indicator, but more of a leading or lagging indicator. You often see money leaving funds when the market starts dropping, often culminating in big withdrawals. Overall, you want to see money flowing into domestic funds if you are invested in the stock market. And we saw a big amount flow in right after what looks to be a near term inflection point (hopefully) following a period of when a lot of money was existing domestic funds. Looking at this indicator as snapshot is pretty much worthless, but over time it has its merits. - David

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