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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (29213)3/28/2008 11:40:41 AM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) of 78702
 
Chinese pharma stocks are actually pretty interesting from growth perspective. CHME just reported earnings which jumped up also pushing its book value. The stock also responded nicely.

At this time I hold some AOB, CHME and LTUS. I think all of them are cheap. AOB has the best margins and the biggest size. CHME is arguably cheapest although LTUS has not reported 2007 earnings yet.

The issues going forward are mostly the same that I mentioned before: reliance on unproven "Chinese medicine" compounds, stricter regulation, more competition, more distribution business with lower margins, share dilution - all of these companies issue shares or convertibles for growth, shady sales to related parties. LTUS had some financial report restatement for last years, although it was possibly immaterial and more of a mistake than a fraud.

The positives is growing Chinese pharma market, improving health care situation across China, and management incentives to grow the companies.

IMHO, the shares are cheap with huge Chinese selloff and may offer a good entry point for value investors.
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