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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer

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To: octavian who wrote (2065)3/31/2008 8:15:20 PM
From: davidk555Read Replies (3) of 2121
 
octavian, I will respond to you and Math in this one post. To Math, I would say this. Before I started my newsletter 9 years ago, I was like both of you -- just a casual listener to the show. I mean I listened to the whole show, but I didn't write down everything he say or even take notes. I remember telling someone that I couldn't believe how right this guy Brinker was on everything! It was my own naiveness. When I started doing my newsletter, I realized that Bob would never again talk about a bad prediction he made, and then brag incessantly over and over on the good calls he made. In fact, when I first pointed out an inconsitency on a post of my newsletter (before I started charging) it was shortly after that when Bob Brinker and I ceased our negotiations over whether I would post my newsletter on his web site. Leaving that aside, I realized that many casual listeners to Bob Brinker have the same impression I do. Bob is a master, a true master at spin. I don't think even you or Math would argue with that. By way of example, a new subscriber of mine recently asked me how long Bob had been bullish on gold and gave him credit for telling a caller to invest up to 5% of a portfolio in gold. The caller didn't realize that Bob has been BEARISH on gold for as long as he as been on the radio and only heard Bob's comment in isolation that was meant to spin it to make him look good.

Now as for Bob being correct from 1991 through 1999 that was a correct call. But another way to look at Bob over the last 18 years is that he has basically been a buy and holder with the exception of 2000-March 2003 during which time he went to 65% cash but then recommended that up to half of that be put into an investment that is still down close to 50% eight years later! All I was saying is that Bob has made some fantastic calls and some horrible recommendations. After tracking everything he has said,written about and researching him throughout these years, that's just my opinion. - David
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