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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: neolib who wrote (260834)	4/6/2008 4:44:56 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (1) of 281500

I'm not reading nutcase sites. The oceans have not warmed for the last five years according to the deep sea Argo buoys. Maybe it's a blip. Maybe not. The climate models say the seas should be warming. The climate models say the seas are the chief conveyor belt of global warming. what to you think a plot of model uncertainty vs forward time would look like and why I think it approaches 100% uncertainty more more quickly than the global warming alarmists would have us believe. Those climate models contain far too many arbitrary parameters, or "fudge factors" as Freeman Dyson calls them, to do otherwise. It's not as if the climate models really model the climate. They model the fluid dynamics and the greenhouse effect. They parameterize the rest. How many billions of dollars do you want to bet that the bits they have modelled include all the significant factors?

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