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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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From: nspolar4/12/2008 10:56:51 PM
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W/r to the dollar, I think I see some 3 wave patterns being strung together. I also suspect we are at or near the end of the 3rd '3'. Event though there may be a bottom here, the dollar still looks weak. What is indicated as a possibility on the chart is of the same nature really.

I do not believe I see impulse waves down, but corrective waves that are impulse like.

The possibility shown below extends the '3' wave concept into a triangle that may be a long ED. The upper line has not yet been really been determined, hence at this point it is just a projection. If the dollar goes higher at the 4 point than projected, and the triangle is valid, the real bottom then will not come until later in time than that shown. This imo could be a long long triangle.

Ultimately, bonds may be safe for some time yet.



img86.imageshack.us

What about gold?

From a wave perspective I do not believe the real bull in gold has yet started, although the low is definitely in. I think it needs a decent correction here, and that it will stretch out in time to maybe the area of the '4' on the dollar chart. Following that I think it takes off and does not look back for a long long time.

I also think the real bullish move in pm's is yet to happen as well, in a realative sense. When it does it will put what has happened to date to shame. So shall we see, over the next few years and more.

TF
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