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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 379.87+0.4%Nov 11 4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (33153)4/15/2008 2:26:05 AM
From: Night Trader  Read Replies (1) of 217711
 
Monthly average % gold return over the period:

dec 4.930881974
nov 1.73512494
oct 3.684850822
sept 2.534602455
aug 4.528197688
jul 0.362214759
jun 1.363272075
may -0.770247824
apr -2.51771518
mar 4.350420175
feb -1.275066607
jan 2.435718904

March was only high because of a single value (12%) in the 06 spring boom and bust. Deleting that value would leave March still the highest of the weak period Feb-July but lower than the weakest month in the strong Aug-Jan period. Conclusion: gold selling is best done at end of Dec/Jan and gold buying in May-July.

One tailed P-value for the truncated data (highest month removed from each set) was less than 1%.
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