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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (59898)	4/18/2008 4:00:08 PM
From: Katelew	Read Replies (1) of 542642

Yes, my opinions are also fluid until we see the votes and the voting patterns in PA and IN. And the national polls at this point mean little to me other than the generic dem vs rep. Likewise the national polls of Obama vs Clinton don't count for much in my mind either. In fact, after looking at a recent poll showing Obama ahead of Clinton in PA (I think it was PPP poll or PP poll, something like that), I not sure how much any poll right now should be relied on. Earlier this week that poll was posted at TPM. Then it was used in an average of 7 or 8 recent polls. Since Obama was +3 in the poll, it served to bring Hillary's average lead down. When I looked at the PP poll in detail, however, I found that 46% of the polling was done in SE Penn. That's the Philly area and the only part of the state where all agreed beforehand Obama would do extremely well. So not only was the PP poll a dishonest representation of the state, its results were used then to produce a dishonest average. Sort of a numerical strawman twice removed. Amazing. I didn't bother trying to find out who commissioned the poll, but it would be interesting to know.

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