If you want to discuss incomes taxes and especially the AMT, that is, at best, a tangential issue.
Actually my intention was to simply say that class-warfare soak the rich policies that liberals make appeals to are misleading. They eventually end up hitting the middle class where the big money is, because of the size of the middle class.
What is wrong with it? It amounts to about $44 billion a year. Which helps. The foundations help break up concentrations of wealth. And the foundations are a major source of charity.
So what is the downside?
See below for arguments about the downside:
............ Do the Wealthy Bear the Burden of the Estate Tax? The federal estate tax results in net tax liabilities for a small number of estates each year—typically between 1 and 2 percent of estates in recent decades. Advocates of estate taxation argue this makes the estate tax highly progressive, allowing lawmakers to efficiently redistribute wealth from rich to poor in society. However, this logic is flawed. The assumption that the full economic burden of the estate tax falls only on wealthy estate owners is inconsistent with both the economic theory of tax incidence and empirical evidence on the effects of estate taxes. Economists teach that, in general, taxes do not stay where lawmakers put them. Instead, some portion of taxes are generally shifted onto others. What economists call the “legal incidence” of a tax—that is, the legal requirement that certain individuals remit tax payments to the government—is largely irrelevant to understanding the economic effects of taxes. What matters instead is which individuals bear the true economic burden—what economists call the “economic incidence” of taxes. For example, corporations are legally required to pay federal corporate income taxes on their net income. However, although they bear the legal incidence of the tax they do not bear the economic incidence. Economists widely agree that the ultimate burden of the corporate income tax is borne by individuals, not corporations. Some portion of the tax is borne by shareholders of companies, but some portion is also passed on to workers in the form of lower wages, to consumers in the form of higher prices, and to owners of other types of capital throughout the economy in the form of lower investment returns.
In the case of estate taxes, many advocates of the tax argue that the economic burden of the tax falls on wealthy estate holders. But this is clearly incorrect. Estate holders may bear the legal incidence of the estate tax, but the economic incidence is partly shifted onto others in society—many of whom are far from wealthy. Estate holders are able to shift part of the burden of the estate tax to others through estate planning and changes in behavior during life. Because individuals are forward-looking during life, those with large estates can respond to the prospect of paying estate taxes long before death. By adjusting consumption and savings decisions during life, estate holders can pass on the burden of estate taxes to others in ways that are unintended by lawmakers. One way estate holders shift the burden of estate taxes onto others is by saving less during life, thereby shrinking the size of taxable estates upon death. Studies regularly find that, in fact, estate taxes shrink the size of taxable estates by encouraging consumption and discouraging wealth accumulation.2 In this way, part of the burden of estate taxes is shifted onto the heirs of estates.
While it is commonly assumed that estate heirs are as wealthy as decedents, studies show this is often not the case. Harvard economist N. Gregory Mankiw reports that the correlation between lifetime earnings of successive generations is between 0.4 and 0.5.3 That suggests many estate heirs are much less wealthy than decedents, making the estate tax much less progressive than its supporters believe it to be.
Also, wage and salary earners throughout the economy bear some part of the economic incidence of estate taxes. To see why, recall that the estate tax is essentially a one-time excise tax on assets accumulated throughout life. Because the estate tax penalizes these savings, many economists believe that it discourages estate holders from saving during their working lives.4 If estate holders save less, the pool of capital available in the economy for business investment is smaller, resulting in fewer machines, buildings and other technology that makes workers more productive. Because wages in the economy are primarily driven by productivity— and productivity is driven by capital investment, which is driven by the level of savings—if the estate tax discourages savings it will tend to make workers less productive, and in turn, lead to lower wages. Once the tax-shifting behavior of estate holders is taken into account, the economic incidence of the estate tax may be far less progressive than is commonly assumed. Wealthy estate holders my bear the legal incidence of the tax, but the economic incidence is borne by many other groups in society who are adversely affected by the economic distortions of the estate tax. Do Estate Taxes Raise Revenue? A second argument in favor of the estate tax is that, despite its harmful economic effects, it raises revenue for federal programs. However, the estate tax has never been an important federal revenue source. In recent decades it has accounted for only 1 to 2 percent of federal receipts, and many economists argue that even this tiny figure may overstate estate tax revenues. Substantial evidence suggests the estate tax may actually raise zero or even negative federal revenue once the full economic effects of the tax are taken into account.
One reason the estate tax is a poor revenue source is that it encourages widespread tax avoidance. This avoidance in turn causes “revenue leakage” in the tax system. During life, wealthy estate holders face incentives to engage in complex estate planning to avoid estate taxation. This may include making gifts to children in lower tax brackets, making taxdeductible charitable gifts, or selling off assets while living in order to pay the current maximum 15 percent capital gains tax rate rather than the maximum 46 percent estate tax rate if assets are held until death. ,.......... II. Economic Arguments Against the Estate Tax
Over the years, economists have identified many economic costs of the estate tax. Two of the most harmful are outlined below: the estate tax’s negative effect on entrepreneurship, and the high costs of complying with the tax. Estate Taxes Discourage Entrepreneurship Previous Tax Foundation research has shown the estate tax hurts the economy by discouraging entrepreneurship. A 1994 study found that the estate tax’s 55 percent rate at the time had roughly the same disincentive effect as doubling an entrepreneur’s top effective marginal income tax rate.5 Thus, because of the estate tax an entrepreneur facing a 31 percent statutory income tax rate would behave as if he or she were facing an effective 62 percent income tax rate.
As the efffective tax rates facing entrepreneurs rise, each hour of extra work is worth less in terms of after-tax income. Under reasonable economic assumptions, at some point the threat of estate taxation causes entrepreneurs to become more likely to retire early rather than continue to work.6 If the estate tax encourages entrepreneurs to stop working and saving, not only does this reduce federal income and payroll tax revenue, but also results in less overall wealth creation in the U.S. economy. In a 2000 study, economists Joel Slemrod and Wojciech Kopczuk measured the incentive effect of the estate tax on wealth accumulation.7 Examining nearly a century of estate tax returns between 1916 and 1996 they found a strong negative relationship between estate tax rates and the size of taxable estates, suggesting that estate taxes discourage wealth accumulation. Based on Slemrod and Kopczuk’s estimates, Princeton University economist Harvey Rosen calculates that overall wealth accumulation in the U.S. economy would rise by 1.5 percent if the estate tax were fully eliminated.8
High Compliance Burden of Estate Taxes In addition to discouraging entrepreneurship and wealth accumulation, the estate tax imposes a staggering compliance burden on the economy. Very wealthy estate holders may be able to avoid some estate taxation through complex tax planning, but doing so is costly and economically wasteful. The estate tax also imposes high compliance costs on many individuals with smaller estates, as they are forced to file complex estate tax returns despite owing no net estate tax. These tax compliance costs represent pure economic waste burned off of the U.S. economy, on top of actual estate tax revenues.
Economic studies have found that compliance costs of the estate tax are much more burdensome per dollar of revenue generated than the federal income tax. One 1992 study by economists Henry J. Aaron and Alicia H. Munnell estimated the cost of complying with estate taxes to be $1 for every dollar of revenue raised—nearly five times more costly per dollar of revenue than the notoriously complex federal income tax. According to the authors of the study, “[T]he ratio of excess burden to revenue of wealth transfer taxes is among the highest of all taxes.”
Noting that this compliance burden is largely the result of widespread tax avoidance, Aaron and Munnell conclude that estate taxes are effectively “penalties imposed on those who neglect to plan ahead or who retain unskilled estate planners” rather than actual taxes.9 A 2001 study from former Congressional Budget Office director Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Donald Marples found similarly high excess burdens associated with the estate tax. The authors estimate that the costs of economic distortions caused by the estate tax are equal to 26 percent of pre-retirement savings, or $34 billion per year between 2001 and 2005.10
If these estimates are correct, the compliance costs of the federal estate tax alone may completely offset the revenue raised, likely reducing economic welfare in the U.S. by a large amount. For these reasons and for reasons noted above, many economists argue the federal estate tax is hard to justify on either efficiency or equity grounds. ......... taxfoundation.org |