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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 414.48+0.7%Jan 9 4:00 PM EST
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To: carranza2 who wrote (33757)4/24/2008 4:31:21 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) of 219180
 
hello c2, just in in-tray, it is what it is:

quote

Not that this is big news, but here is inventory of positions and personal views:

I have been increasing my short US long bonds via RYJUX US EQUITY from the US$16 levels as part of long term positioning for higher cost of US long term money. Some debate on the upside short-term though. Some say 10-yr bond can only rebound to 4% short term. I will continue to increase my position slowly here. Chart below.

I am also increasing long US dollar but holding Sing and HK dollars in size as well. Am keeping RMB small position.

I have continued to trade short term, with a bias to accumulating on corrections.

I bot a double position of China Moly 3993 HK on Monday and decreased my position after +10% but am holding the rest for now.

I bot Toyota on its lows 3 weeks ago and will put it away for long term.

I bot HSBC 8.12% bond which now yields about 7.8%

I bot GE on its correction last week for long term.

I am reducing Noble long term position, unless it corrects and level looks attractive relative to opportunities again

2008 Portfolio main moves (approx +3% YTD)

Biggest unrealized losses: GAS NO (small position only); AYR (small position only); CKN LN (rebounding back to cost); UYG

Biggest gains realized and unrealized: 3993 HK (sold half); 1199 HK (sold); NOBL SP (reducing after +35% on core); HSBC Bond; Sing dollar; 293 HK (sold); Honda (sold); CHF (sold); Yen (sold); 2343 HK (sold)

Small gain to flat: RMT; cash (50-60% of overall)

Core Holds now:

- Macro: DUG short oil (lost my gains so far and down a little); RYJUX (slow move up); Sing dollar; HKD; US dollar; RMB

- Trade/commodities: Toyota; China Moly; PYI; 39 HK; YZJ; OOIL; RMT ; CKN; PLS; GAS;

- Diversified: HSBC 8.12% bond; Citi (forced holder small position, having sold most in 2006-1H07); GE; UYG (slow rebound)

unquote
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