Keeping my selfish hope alive
Obama is fading. Darn. His weaknesses ("God damn America"; terrorist friends, elitism) are coming out too soon. And now Jeremiah Wright is coming out with a press offensive - is he trying to sabotage Barack? On the plus side, he's still ahead on delegates.
Don't miss Rick Moran's analysis of yesterday's election.
Excerpt:
Hillary Clinton received 62% of the white vote. Barack Obama received 89% of the African American vote. The question facing superdelegates is: how can they run a candidate who loses the white vote by almost 2-1 in a state they absolutely must carry to win the election? And it wasn't just the voter's race that made a difference. Clinton ran up astonishing majorities in the mostly white, mostly rural counties in the northeast part of the state. In Luzerne county she received 75% of the vote. She got 70% of the vote in Wyoming county. Culturally conservative but economically moderate, these blue collar voters in places like Scranton and Wilkes-Barre were considered at one time "Reagan Democrats" - reliable Democratic voters when it came to candidates on the down ballot but Republican when voting for President. In recent elections, they have returned to the Democratic party in greater numbers and have given the party a victory in the state in every election since 1988.
These are the voters Barack Obama told his rich donor friends in San Francisco were "clinging" to religion and guns rather than voting what he feels are their economic interests. Indeed, Clinton bagged 58% of gun owners in the state while taking 58% of those who attend church weekly. Obama received 56% of the votes from those who never attend religious services.
Hillary is far more popular than Obama here in Pennsylvania, and not just with white people, but with working class people, middle income people, Catholics, and Jews.
The only groups he does well with are blacks, young people, the rich (incomes over $150,000), and the poor (below $15,000). Hardly a winning coalition.
My conclusion? There's only one I can draw definitively:
McCain would beat Obama hands down in Pennsylvania.
But could he beat Hillary?
For the umpteenth time, I'm seriously worried that he couldn't.
Once again, the Limbaugh crossovers should be careful what they wish for. Obviously, most Republicans simply prefer Hillary to Obama. There's nothing wrong with having such a preference (it's probably a no-brainer) but should it translate into helping Hillary get on the ballot?
I don't think so. Which is why I voted for Obama yesterday, and I hope I'll be able to vote against him in the fall.
But I'm worried that after yesterday's lesson, the Dems will soon wise up (there are plenty of signs they are), and it is increasingly unlikely that he will be the candidate.
Still, I can hope, can't I?
posted by Eric
classicalvalues.com |
