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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (68912)4/29/2008 2:52:35 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
But Elroy, incomes don't remain high when there's recession or depression. Don't forget, the party time on debt also caused pay rates to stay higher than they would otherwise have done because economic activity powered by debt increase meant restaurants were busy, SUV sales were busy, house construction was busy, new shops were needed, with more retail staff so all the borrowed money could be spent, more kleptocrats were needed to collect all the money and waste in on various government ideas.

So, as people lose their jobs, they will accept new jobs at lower pay, which means less money for rent, which means to get 10X rent as capital value, house prices might have to go further than expected. Big Ben is planning to avoid that by increasing incomes by posting cheques to people.

It's the world's biggest ever debt bubble being deflated. That's quite an experiment to run. A real-time, 3D, no going back, merciless and relentless experiment. Since the history of debt is not normally a happy one, the experiment is not likely to be like an experiment with this new fangled cyberspace thing, or relativity theory, or the wheel, which could have good or bad outcomes. Debt normally ends badly. Super large scale debt resolution is not likely to act in a better way than in past debt resolutions of a smaller scale.

Mqurice
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