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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread

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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (21426)5/2/2008 11:11:16 PM
From: neolib  Read Replies (2) of 36917
 
Wharf Rat, have you seen the Nature paper regarding modeling the effects of the Atlantic Oscillation on GW? I'm trying to figure out how the sounds bites (no warming for a decade) correlate with they graph:



This is from the BBC report on the article. The green line would appear to be their new result. Not clear what the "old" black line is (whose model?). The glaring problem is that they don't show a current decade of no warming in either. The green model shown 15 years of little warming in 1985-2000, but nothing around 2008 +/- decade is similiarly flat. So why the claim? Their model in fact shows a short flat to 2010, which BTW, is what a number of others have been claiming as well.

Perhaps they are claiming that the gap between measured and their new model will close, so that measured trends down. That would given them a decade of no warming. But if so, then they should explain why they a mixing measured & modelled, which is truly odd. Further, why has their model diverged so much for the last decade from the measured?

I assume realclimate will post something on this shortly. Perhaps they will explain the odd graph.
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