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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: Elroy who wrote (248815)5/5/2008 2:41:09 AM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) of 793964
 
I have noticed something interesting about the polling data (cf. RealClearPolitics.com). In the Ohio polls two days before the primary, undecided voters ran about 6 - 8%. In the Pennsylvania polls, 7 - 10% undecided. In tomorrow's races, undecideds are running twice that many - about 12% in North Carolina to as much as 17% in Indiana.

That's not good news for Barack Obama. Late deciders broke two-to-one for Hillary in Pennsylvania. If they do that this time, Hillary will win big in Indiana (maybe 10% like Ohio) and lose small in North Carolina (less than 5%). A North Carolina result like that, assuming that Obama keeps his 90% of the black vote, would mean that his support among white voters would be only 35%.

If Obama is down to his core support of kids, blacks and lefties, then he's toast in the general election.

Fasten your seat belts, kids, this is going to be bumpy ride.
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